Quarterly Forecasting and Scenario Services for UK Housing and Macroeconomics

Homes England seeks a qualified forecasting service provider to deliver quarterly macroeconomic and housing forecasts for the UK, English regions, and local authorities. These forecasts will support the National Housing Bank and inform critical business functions including risk management, financial planning, portfolio resilience assessments, and IFRS 9 calculations. The service must provide baseline forecasts complemented by upside and downside scenarios to guide capital deployment, intervention strategies, and regeneration investments. As a publicly audited body, Homes England requires forecasts built on robust, transparent, and auditable methodologies using established models with proven track records. Forecasts must incorporate reasonable assumptions aligned with current market standards and prevailing economic outlooks, with clear identification of emerging risks and structural market shifts. Suppliers should demonstrate expertise in macroeconomic modelling, housing market analysis, and experience working with large public institutions.